Suprema — NL10–NL50 evening (BR) — Spot catalog

Showing 3 · of 21 total

• TURNCO vs BB · Ad9c+5.1 bb/100

  This Tc completes obvious broadway threats; the pool’s flop calls are stuffed with Qx/Jx and weak draws, but they over-fold the turn by +13.0pp vs baseline when the scare card lands. Because they also under-fold the flop (-14.0pp), your second barrel on this card class with Ad9c massively increases fold equity. Size up to ~70% to maximize immediate folds from pair+draw and one-pair hands.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 70% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline
• TURNSB vs BB · Ah7s+2.3 bb/100

  On 9h5h2c-5d the front-door hearts miss and the board pairs low—classic brick where population gives up after over-calling flop (-14.0pp) and then over-folding turn by +13.0pp. A 70–75% barrel from SB punishes capped floats and weak 9x/2x that don’t want to continue on a paired board. Even with Ah7x, pressure here prints in this pool.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 75% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline
• TURNUTG vs BB · QhJh+3.3 bb/100

  Pool callers under-fold the flop (-14.0pp vs baseline) then over-fold the turn (+13.0pp vs baseline). On K72r-8c their flop calls are heavy with 7x, 2x, and broadways that whiff this brick, so a 70% barrel generates significant folds. GTO often gives up QJ here, but in this pool the second shell is printing.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 70% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline