Suprema — NL10–NL50 evening (BR) — Spot catalog

Showing 6 · of 21 total

• PREFLOPCO vs UTG · Ah5h+3.2 bb/100

  UTG limping is a strong recreational tell here (limp_frequency +18.0pp over baseline), so punish it from CO with a wide, bigger iso. A5s plays great IP against capped limp-calls and the 6bb size discourages cold-calls, isolating the weakest range. GTO isolates too, but upsizing realizes more fold equity pre and value post in this pool.

  EXPLOIT: Iso-raise to 6bb (≈2.5x pot)#1 Isolate limpers wider from late position
• FLOPCO vs BB · KhJc+1.7 bb/100

  On dry K-high boards, GTO continues a fair amount versus a check-raise with KJ, but this pool’s flop check-raise bluff rate is far below baseline (check_raise_frequency delta=-5.0pp: 4% vs 9%). Their raises are weighted to two-pair/sets and strong Kx, so folding the marginal top-pair saves money. Slow down or fold everything shy of TPTK+ here.

  EXPLOIT: Fold#5 Trust villain's river check-raise — it's never a bluff
• TURNCO vs MP · AcJc+2.0 bb/100

  On a paired K turn after isolating a limper, apply pressure with a bigger second barrel; limp-calls lack strong Kx and overfold to heat. This pool’s elevated limp_frequency (+18.0pp vs baseline) means more capped, draw-heavy continues that hate big turn bets. A♣J♣ has strong equity and excellent blockers, so the larger sizing maximizes fold equity and value when called.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 15bb (67%)#1 Isolate limpers wider from late position
• TURNCO vs BB · Ad9c+5.1 bb/100

  This Tc completes obvious broadway threats; the pool’s flop calls are stuffed with Qx/Jx and weak draws, but they over-fold the turn by +13.0pp vs baseline when the scare card lands. Because they also under-fold the flop (-14.0pp), your second barrel on this card class with Ad9c massively increases fold equity. Size up to ~70% to maximize immediate folds from pair+draw and one-pair hands.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 70% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline
• TURNCO vs MP · KcJs+2.6 bb/100

  After floating a wet flop where the pool over-cbets by ~20pp versus baseline, their turn check frequency spikes and they over-fold unpaired broadways and weak pairs when pressured. KJs has two overs and a gutshot; a 66% stab punishes the auto-cbet-then-give-up line and prints folds while retaining decent equity when called. Theory mixes, but this pool’s flop over-cbet → turn under-barrel pattern makes the larger stab a clear winner.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 9.6bb (66%)#7 Skip flop c-bets on wet boards when you're capped
• RIVERCO vs BB · As7s+2.2 bb/100

  High-wet flop (two hearts) and turn completing the front-door flush create a river where BB’s range is saturated with one-heart hands and busted gutters. Pool folds 20.0pp more often than baseline facing river jams, so overbet jamming your air (without a heart blocker) prints. GTO mixes or gives up some of these; here the jam leverages their over-folding to realize full fold equity.

  EXPLOIT: Jam 85 bb#4 Triple-barrel rivers selectively, but value-bet thin for huge EV