Suprema — NL10–NL50 evening (BR) — Spot catalog

Showing 3 · of 21 total

• FLOPCO vs BB · KhJc+1.7 bb/100

  On dry K-high boards, GTO continues a fair amount versus a check-raise with KJ, but this pool’s flop check-raise bluff rate is far below baseline (check_raise_frequency delta=-5.0pp: 4% vs 9%). Their raises are weighted to two-pair/sets and strong Kx, so folding the marginal top-pair saves money. Slow down or fold everything shy of TPTK+ here.

  EXPLOIT: Fold#5 Trust villain's river check-raise — it's never a bluff
• TURNCO vs BB · Ad9c+5.1 bb/100

  This Tc completes obvious broadway threats; the pool’s flop calls are stuffed with Qx/Jx and weak draws, but they over-fold the turn by +13.0pp vs baseline when the scare card lands. Because they also under-fold the flop (-14.0pp), your second barrel on this card class with Ad9c massively increases fold equity. Size up to ~70% to maximize immediate folds from pair+draw and one-pair hands.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 70% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline
• RIVERCO vs BB · As7s+2.2 bb/100

  High-wet flop (two hearts) and turn completing the front-door flush create a river where BB’s range is saturated with one-heart hands and busted gutters. Pool folds 20.0pp more often than baseline facing river jams, so overbet jamming your air (without a heart blocker) prints. GTO mixes or gives up some of these; here the jam leverages their over-folding to realize full fold equity.

  EXPLOIT: Jam 85 bb#4 Triple-barrel rivers selectively, but value-bet thin for huge EV