Suprema — NL10–NL50 evening (BR) — Spot catalog

Showing 4 · of 21 total

• TURNBTN vs BB · Qs6s+1.3 bb/100

  Because the BB 3-bets 8pp less than baseline, their call-heavy preflop range is capped and folds too much versus small turn barrels on paired, dry textures. BTN is opening 12pp over baseline in this pool, so marginal adds like Q6s gain EV by pressing these fold-prone nodes with a 35% stab rather than giving a free card.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 3.2 bb (35%)#2 Widen BTN opens to 60%+ of hands
• TURNCO vs BB · Ad9c+5.1 bb/100

  This Tc completes obvious broadway threats; the pool’s flop calls are stuffed with Qx/Jx and weak draws, but they over-fold the turn by +13.0pp vs baseline when the scare card lands. Because they also under-fold the flop (-14.0pp), your second barrel on this card class with Ad9c massively increases fold equity. Size up to ~70% to maximize immediate folds from pair+draw and one-pair hands.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 70% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline
• TURNSB vs BB · Ah7s+2.3 bb/100

  On 9h5h2c-5d the front-door hearts miss and the board pairs low—classic brick where population gives up after over-calling flop (-14.0pp) and then over-folding turn by +13.0pp. A 70–75% barrel from SB punishes capped floats and weak 9x/2x that don’t want to continue on a paired board. Even with Ah7x, pressure here prints in this pool.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 75% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline
• TURNUTG vs BB · QhJh+3.3 bb/100

  Pool callers under-fold the flop (-14.0pp vs baseline) then over-fold the turn (+13.0pp vs baseline). On K72r-8c their flop calls are heavy with 7x, 2x, and broadways that whiff this brick, so a 70% barrel generates significant folds. GTO often gives up QJ here, but in this pool the second shell is printing.

  EXPLOIT: Bet 70% pot#3 Double barrel turn way more than baseline